Chrysalis

14 days away from #euref and it seems we are no closer to clarity on the issue. I am a Yes voter (or at least I think I am) but I am slowly being swayed by the argument of voting No for now and letting the flux of continental politics calm a little before re-engaging with this debate later in the year.
We cannot change the date for #euref that is now set in stone so how can we delay? Well some are now saying we could vote No and then ratify at a later date in the year, so essentially hold a second referendum. Is this possible? It seems so, but it is a question the Yes side are avoiding because it would guarantee a No win on the 31st.
I agree with the thrust of the treaty, I agree with stricter budgetary controls so we do not fall into the tiger traps of the past. I am not a Euro sceptic; I have always supported the European project and will continue to do so as long as it is beneficial for all its citizens. However, with the new French government using the #euref issue for internal political reasons, as are the Germans and the Dutch it seems that the time is not right for us to make this decision.
Take Greece, it is on the brink of economic collapse, it could be gone from the Euro sooner rather than later and Spanish banks are seeing a run on lodgements and a flight of capital. With all this uncertainty will a Yes vote here offer solace, will it bring a calming influence on our European partners and help stabilise this increasingly rocking ship?
I doubt it will, I think a Yes vote will be acknowledged, it will be welcomed but it will not be a deciding influencer on EU policy. France will continue to push for a growth pact (something to be fair the Irish government has pushed for also), Germany will continue to push for strict controls. What we have no clarity on is what will happen in Holland post election, what is the future for Greece and Spain.
So where does this leave me??? I need an answer to the question, can we vote again later in the year? If the answer to that question is no then I will vote Yes.
The other question I have is will a No vote cause the cost for Irish borrowing to increase in the short term? If the answer is yes I will vote yes.
So clearly I, like most, am in a dilemma……